A wild NCAAF Week 12 means a team like Alabama has almost zero chance of making the College Football Playoff. But although Bama won’t make the CFP this season, it doesn’t mean their annual throwdown versus the Auburn Tigers in the Iron Bowl didn’t make our top five college gridiron matchups to put on your price per player sportsbook’s radar.
2022 College Football Week 13 – Saturday
- When: Saturday, November 26, 2022
College Football Week 13 2022 – Top 5 Games
South Carolina Gamecocks at 8-Clemson Tigers – 12:00 pm ET – ABC / ESPN+
ATS odds: Clemson -14.5
On November 5, Notre Dame all but ended Clemson’s hopes for a College Football Playoff berth. The 35-14 loss to the Fighting Irish didn’t set well with Dabo Swinney and Clemson players.
We know this because since the loss, Clemson has rolled, blasting Louisville 31-16 as a -6.5 favorite and destroying Miami 40-10 as a -19 chalk.
On Saturday, Clemson plays one of the most electrifying offenses in the nation. In week 12, Spencer Rattler threw for 438 yards and tossed 6 TDs in the Gamecocks’ 63-38 upset win against Tennessee.
Action Prediction: The odds imply an easy Clemson win. But taking down South Carolina is different than beating Louisville and Miami.
The Gamecocks don’t play defense, but they have an offense that can punish Clemson’s D, which is why many players will grab the 14.5 points. Some will back South Carolina on the money line. So make sure to set limits.
3-Michigan Wolverines at 2-Ohio State Buckeyes – 12:00 pm ET – FOX
ATS odds: Ohio State -7.5
The greatest rivalry in college football resumes on Saturday when 3-Michigan heads to Ohio State to take on the Buckeyes. Depending on how the game unfolds, the loser could remain in the College Football Playoff, but a blowout loss on either side would end the losing team’s CFP chances.
So far, 60% of players are backing the Maize & Blue to cover. Ohio State may be undefeated at 11-0, but the Buckeyes are just 5-5-1 against the spread. Ohio State is also 1-4 versus the spread line in their last 5 games.
Michigan is 6-4-1 ATS. The Wolverines barely beat Illinois in their last. Players aren’t holding that against Michigan because everyone knows the Wolverines were looking ahead to this massive rivalry matchup.
Action Prediction: Expect money to continue to go to the Wolverines. Michigan’s defense appears slightly better than Ohio State’s. Also, overall, the Wolverines have played the more formidable teams.
Players consider strength of schedule when deciding which team to back to cover in bookie football sportsbooks.
9-Oregon Ducks at 21-Oregon State Beavers – 3:30 pm ET – ABC / ESPN+
ATS odds: Oregon -3.5
Unless you’re a die-hard college football fan or handicapper, you probably only know a little about Oregon versus Oregon State. The game is so heated that fans call the annual battle between the Beavers and the Ducks “The Civil War”.
This year’s Civil War takes place between a pair of ranked teams. About one hundred different things must happen for Oregon to sneak into the College Football Playoff. 3-loss Oregon State has no CFP hopes.
But the Beavers are scorching against the spread. Oregon State is on a 5-game ATS winning streak. Not only that, but the Beavers should field a better defense. Also, this happens on Oregon State’s gridiron.
Action Prediction: More players so far favor Oregon. But the percentage difference is only 8, with 54% siding with the Ducks and 46% going for the Beavers.
By kickoff, the percentage difference should be even more negligible. Pros will get into the act and go with Oregon State to cover. Some will even play the Beavers to win straight up.
Auburn Tigers at 7-Alabama Crimson Tide – 3:30 pm ET – CBS / Paramount +
ATS odds: Alabama -22.5
Once again, Auburn is looking for a head coach. The Tigers go through head coaches the way jockeys go through goggles on a muddy racetrack.
Lane Kiffin, Ole Miss’s HC, is the latest to snub Auburn. The Tigers’ situation isn’t good heading into the Iron Bowl showdown with hated rival Alabama.
Still, players believe the Tigers have a shot. 59% are grabbing the 22.5 points.
Action Prediction: Both these teams are 5-6 against the spread. The difference is that Bama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Auburn is 4-1 versus the spread in their previous 5.
Not only that, but no matter their situation, the Tigers always play the Tide tough. Unless you run a sports betting business book for Bama fans, you should see more action on Auburn than the Crimson Tide.
15-Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 6-USC Trojans – 7:30 pm ET – ABC / ESPN+
ATS odds: USC -5.5
The Notre Dame versus USC rivalry started in 1926. Since then, the Trojans and Irish have battled every season.
In 2022, the game has added meaning. USC ranks 6. So if fifth-ranked LSU falls to Texas A&M in week 13 or loses to Georgia in the SEC Championship, and USC beats Notre Dame and then wins the Pac-12 Championship game next Saturday, the Trojans will make the College Football Playoff.
Action Prediction: 54% back USC to win and cover. 46% like Notre Dame’s defense. By kickoff, pay per head agents should see around 50% for both sides.
The Irish are on fire, but this happens at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. In rivalry games, home field means a lot.
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