College Football 2023 Preview Week 14. The post-season is here, which means college football betting goes into high gear. We’ll look at the Power Five games from which you can expect to see the most action. But remember, keep your limits in.
The Power Five Championship Games
Friday, December 1
Conference USA Championship No. 20 Liberty (-11, 53.5) vs. New Mexico State
Pac-12 Championship No. 3 Washington vs. No. 5 Oregon (-9.5, 67.5)
Saturday, December 2
Dr Pepper Big 12 Championship No. 7 Texas (-13.5, 54.5) vs. No. 19 Oklahoma State
MAC Championship No. 23 Toledo (-8, 45.5) vs. Miami OH
American Athletic Championship No. 17 Tulane (-4, 50.5) vs. No. 25 SMU
SEC Championship No. 1 Georgia (-5, 55.5) vs. No. 8 Alabama
Big Ten Championship No. 2 Michigan (-23, 35.5) vs. No. 18 Iowa
ACC Championship No. 4 Florida State (-3.5, 51.5) vs. No. 15 Louisville
Sun Belt Championship Troy (-6.5) vs. Appalachian State
SEC Championship Game – Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
The Bulldogs are only favored by five points, but is there anyone who doubts they’ll win this one? They set an SEC record Saturday when they won their 29th consecutive game. That’s also three straight undefeated regular seasons and two consecutive national championships. At this point, they’re looking more like a juggernaut, which won’t be denied.
They even beat Georgia Tech last week despite three of their top five receivers out with injuries. Alabama’s only comeback is that this will be the fourth time these two teams have met in the SEC Championship game in the last six seasons, and the Tide are 3-0, looking to make it 4-0.
Big Ten Championship Game – Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Since 2014, when the current divisional structure was created, Big Ten East teams have won every championship. That’s probably why the powers that be have decided to remove the divisions starting next season. The Wolverines have now won the division three years in a row and are 23-point favorites to win this Saturday.
You could argue that Iowa’s elite defense has kept its opponents to an average of 12.2 points per game. However, their offense is just as stingy. They’ve only averaged 18 points per game. Even if they can keep Michigan’s offense to lower numbers, Iowa’s offense won’t be able to bridge the gap enough to keep the game close.
I look forward to seeing if the Wolverines can cover this considerable spread.
Big 12 Championship Game – Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Except for one misstep against Oklahoma, where they lost in a close one, 34-30, Texas has dominated their opponents, including a thrashing of Texas Tech last week, 57-7. They have led the conference for most of the season.
Oklahoma State hasn’t been an obvious forerunner, as they nearly lost to BYU last week in overtime. A loss would have knocked them out of the championship game. That doesn’t mean the Longhorns have it locked in, but they are 13.5-point favorites.
Neither of these teams has won the championship since the new format was adopted in 2017, but they’ve both made it this far. Texas lost in 2018, and Oklahoma State lost in 2021. Can we root for both teams?
Pac-12 Championship Game – Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks
The Huskies are undefeated, and the Ducks have lost to only one team – the Huskies. This could be considered a grudge match, but it won’t get that ugly. The teams are led by the top two Heisman Trophy candidates, Bo Nix and Michael Penix Jr, which means their defenses could very well decide the outcome.
The Ducks’ defense has only allowed more than 20 points twice in the six games since losing to Washington. The Huskies have improved their defense recently and kept the points-against average to 20.5 in the last two games.
Both offenses and defenses are good, but what stands out is that Washington has struggled in some of their games, while Oregon has dominated most of them. The Ducks deserve the 9.5-point spread. They’ll cover, and Bo Nix will get the trophy.
ACC Championship Game – Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals
The Seminoles should see a longer spread, but they lost starting quarterback Jordan Travis for the season. He suffered an ankle injury and was replaced last week by Tate Rodemaker for their win against Florida. He has an elite crew of running backs to rely on and an excellent defense to keep them in the game.
Louisville is not inspiring confidence either, as they lost to 6-5 Kentucky in the last game of the regular season. Look to the Seminoles to support Rodemaker and cover the spread.
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