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Dolphins vs Bills Prediction for Week 3 Thursday Night Football

A new NFL week is here, and it will start with the match between the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills. Week 3 kick-off will see a contrast of opposite records, where the Dolphins are still looking for their first victory while the Bills seek to seal their third consecutive win of the season. Here is our analysis and prediction at BossAction.

Key Details for Thursday Night Football

  • Date: Thursday, Sept. 18
  • Time: 6:15 p.m. CT
  • Broadcast: Prime Video
  • Stadium: Highmark Stadium

A Look at Josh Allen and the Bills Offense

As in life, football can always find a way to surprise us, but everything points to a very one-sided game for the Buffalo Bills this Thursday when the Dolphins visit Highmark Stadium, where they have not won a single time since coach Sean McDermott took over the Bills managerial job, that’s nine home games since 2017.

The quarterback Josh Allen has won 13 out of 15 career games against the Dolphins, including the playoffs. Allen currently has a six-game winning streak with a personal record of 339 completions, over 4 thousand yards, and 45 touchdowns. Against Miami, he averages 3 TD and a 107.6 passer rating per game — deep numbers for a QB. But doesn’t stop there with Buffalo scoring at least 30 points in 11 of those 13 Allen victories — the only two losses combined for only six points.

Finally, a key highlight in Buffalo is definitely their defense. Forcing turnovers is part of their identity. Just last season, they achieved 32, placing third in the league, but they have also not lost a turnover battle in 24 games (including playoffs), becoming the longest streak in the NFL since 1950.

The Dolphins’ Early Season Struggles

The Dolphins started the season with two losses against the Colts and Patriots, and they have really shown some real concerns, especially in defense, allowing points on 13 of 17
possessions. It also seems that the quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa, has become a turnover machine and is constantly running away for his life.

Given the circumstances, where the OL is also not so reliable, Miami’s game design aims to get the ball out fast. Still, against the Patriots, Tagovailoa was sacked 5 times, including twice in the final play on offense when they were looking for a drive that ended in a touchdown in the final minute of regulation. Now, the real challenge will be to not only fix these crucial issues, but also control the Buffalo atmosphere in primetime.

Dolphins vs Bills Final Score Prediction

The Bills are living their best momentum, and believing it is going to go away anytime soon is not the most realistic scenario. Let’s be real: The Bills are 1st in offense and 7th in defense in the league, while the Dolphins are 23rd and 26th, respectively.

But it doesn’t end there: Josh Allen has thrown 37 TDs versus Miami and just eight interceptions. The dominance seems absolute. Our prediction at BossAction is Buffalo Bills 38 – 19 Miami Dolphins.