This season, the National Football League returns with a 17-game schedule. Check out our NFL Betting 2021 Preview and prepare your pay per head sportsbook from Week 1 to Super Bowl LVI.
In 2020, while other sports struggled to deal with COVID-19, the National Football League pushed forward and kept its schedule intact.
That makes the 2021 NFL season an exciting prospect for fans, bettors and sports betting agents. Not only that, but Commissioner Roger Goodell said he expects full stadiums when teams hit the gridiron in September.
To help you ready your sportsbook business for 18 weeks of pro football action, check out BossAction’s NFL Betting 2021 Preview.
Strength of Schedule Affects NFL Odds, Totals, and Futures
The National Football League determines strength of schedule based on opponents’ records from the previous season. BossAction players looking to learn how to become a bookie must understand that strength of schedule could affect Super Bowl futures, regular-season totals, and even individual game spreads.
Check out three teams whose strength of schedule could affect their NFL Playoff fortunes.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs play this season’s fourth-easiest schedule. As of mid-July, Tampa offers the second-lowest odds after Kansas City to win Super Bowl 56.
Tom Brady remains under center. Not only that, but Atlanta traded Julio Jones and New Orleans must start Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill at quarterback. The other team in the NFC South, the Carolina Panthers, appear to be in rebuild mode.
Outside of tough matchups versus the Titans, Rams, and Bills, the Buccaneers’ schedule points to no worse than a 12-win season.
QB Dak Prescott returns from injury to a Cowboys team that should have a much better defense. The Boys spent their first six draft picks on defenders.
But even if the defense hasn’t improved, Dallas has a big shot to win the NFC East. Before Prescott went down, the Cowboys averaged 32.9 points per game.
Dallas enters the season with the second easiest schedule in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers, Chiefs and Saints are the only teams Dallas plays that finished above .500 in 2020.
Oddsmaking gurus believe Pittsburgh, which won the AFC North, has about the same chance to win the Super Bowl as the Minnesota Vikings even though the Vikings didn’t make the playoffs last season.
Oddsmakers don’t expect players to call bookie agents looking to use free betting software to back a Steelers’ run to the Lombardi Trophy. As of mid-July, the over-under on Steelers’ total wins is 8.5, which means most expect the Steelers to finish close to .500.
For Pittsburgh, it’s all about strength of schedule. The Steelers face tough matchups against the Seattle Seahawks, Tennessee Titans, Buffalo Bills and Kansas Chiefs in addition to contests versus division rivals the Cleveland Browns, Baltimore Ravens, and Cincinnati Bengals.
Also, Ben Roethlisberger turns 40 in March. Around 40 is when many quarterbacks start losing arm strength. If that happens to Big Ben, the Steelers could find it difficult to reach the 8 win mark.
When setting their businesses up for the NFL Season, PPH sportsbook agents must account for strength of schedule. History has shown that strength of schedule can help a team secure a playoff spot, or send them home to watch the NFL postseason on their television sets.
NFL Betting 2021: Watch for ATS Bets on the Dolphins and Bills
Two AFC East teams landed less difficult schedules than most of the league. The Miami Dolphins, who went 10-6 last season, will play the twenty-seventh ranked schedule in terms of difficulty.
Last season, although Miami went 10-6 on the moneyline, the Dolphins went 11-5 against the spread. Miami covered 68.8% of the time. If QB Tua Tagovailoa develops more in his second year as a pro, Miami could finish the 2021 regular season with a similar or improved ATS record.
Super Bowl odds on the Buffalo Bills make them the third choice behind Tampa and Kansas City, which means many believed in Buffalo before they landed the NFL’s twenty-third easiest schedule.
Last season, counting the playoffs, the Bills went 12-7 ATS. Players could hammer Buffalo against the spread in several weeks this season.
Keep an eye out on NFL betting action on the Bills and Dolphins. If action gets too hot on either, price per head agents should use tools to manage dollars wagered.
Aaron Rodgers News Could Shift NFL MVP Odds
Reigning NFL MVP and Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is unhappy. Although details are difficult to find, it appears Rodgers is willing to sit out the 2021 season if Green Bay doesn’t trade him.
Despite Rodgers capturing the 2020 NFL MVP, Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the hardware this season. Odds on Mahomes could dive if Rodgers doesn’t play.
Third choice Josh Allan had a great 2020. The former Wyoming Cowboy threw for 4,544 yards, 37 touchdowns, and just 10 interceptions. In 2020, the Bills crafted the offense around Allen’s strengths by employing the type of spread offense he used in college.
92.4% of the Bills’ plays employ three and four-wide receiver sets and packages. If NVL MVP betting handicappers believe Allen continues his success, or if Rodgers decides to sit out, Allen could become the second second choice.
QB Matthew Stafford is finally out from under the historically dark cloud of Detroit football and among the bright lights of Los Angeles. If Stafford performs well early, MVP backers could pound Stafford in the NFL MVP futures.
Comeback Player Odds Favor Prescott
Two NFC East players offer the lowest odds to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. Dallas Cowboys signal-caller Dak Prescott is the favorite. New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley is the second choice.
Prescott suffered a season-ending compound fracture to his ankle in Week 5. Before the injury, the Cowboys’ quarterback averaged 371.2 passing yards per game. Dallas’ quarterback was on pace for a record-breaking 5,939 yards, which explains why he’s the favorite. .
After back-to-back lackluster seasons, the Philadelphia Eagles traded quarterback Carson Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts. Indianapolis head coach Frank Reich coached Wentz in 2016, Wentz’s rookie season.
In 2020, the Colts ranked eleventh in rushing yards per game. The defense allowed 332.1 total yards per, ranking eighth in the NFL. If Wentz can revert to his second-season form, where he was an NFL MVP candidate, he not only should win the Comeback Player of the Year trophy, but he could also lead Indianapolis to a deep playoff run.
Agents should use BossAction software for the upcoming NFL Season
The 2021-2022 NFL Season promises to be one for the record books. As of July 16, just two of thirty-two teams are below the 50% COVID-19 vaccination threshold. Thirteen teams are at the 85% vaccination level.
By the time the Cowboys and Buccaneers kick off the season on September 9, all teams should be over the 50% threshold and most teams should be at the 85% vaccination level, which means we should be in line for a close to COVID free season.
BossAction knows how much agents will depend on NFL betting 2021 action, which is why for a limited time we’re offering our proprietary bookie software for $3 per head from the moment you activate a BossAction account to Super Bowl 56 on February 13, 2022.The sooner you sign-up, the sooner you can also take part in a referral program that pays you 15% of your referred friends’ deposits for up to a year. Call 1-800-339-4108 for details.
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